SKILL.md
Time Series Diagnostics
Comprehensive diagnostic toolkit to analyze time series data characteristics before forecasting.
Input Format
The input CSV file should have two columns:
- Date column - Timestamps or dates (e.g.,
date,timestamp,time) - Value column - Numeric values to analyze (e.g.,
value,sales,temperature)
Workflow
Step 1: Run diagnostics
python scripts/diagnose.py data.csv --output-dir results/
This runs all statistical tests and analyses. Outputs diagnostics.json with all metrics and summary.txt with human-readable findings. Column names are auto-detected, or can be specified with --date-col and --value-col options.
Step 2: Generate plots (optional)
python scripts/visualize.py data.csv --output-dir results/
Creates diagnostic plots in results/plots/ for visual inspection. Run after diagnose.py to ensure ACF/PACF plots are synchronized with stationarity results. Column names are auto-detected, or can be specified with --date-col and --value-col options.
Step 3: Report to user
Summarize findings from summary.txt and present relevant plots. See references/interpretation.md for guidance on:
- Is the data forecastable?
- Is it stationary? How much differencing is needed?
- Is there seasonality? What period?
- Is there a trend? What direction?
